HOW TO DO BUSINESS IN TURKEY: INVESTOR'S GUIDE


2. Turkish economy


2.1. Main Economic Indicators


Its diversified economy, proximity to Europe, Middle East, North Africa and Eurasia, integration with European markets, a young and vibrant work force, crisis experienced businessmen and economy management make Turkey one of the most powerful economies in the region. The main economic indicators are given below:

  2007
2008
GDP (billion $ / in current prices) 656.6 741.8
GDP Growth Rate (%) 4.5 1.1
GDP per Capita (Nom.$) 9,333 10.436
FDI Inflow (billion $) 19.1 14.4
FDI Outflow (billion $) -743 -35
Unemployment (%) 9.9 10.3
Consumer Price Inflation (%) 8.61 10.54
Export (billion $) 107.2 132.0
Import (billion $) 170.0 201.8
External Debt (billion $) 247.1 284.4

Source: TUIK, Central Bank of Turkey

Being the commercial center of southeastern Europe, Middle East and Eurasia, Turkey is becoming an increasingly important economic and diplomatic country in the region. Between 2001 and 2007, Turkey’s GDP have increased by 242% totaling to USD 656.6 billion and she became the 15th largest economy in the world.

Economic Indicators Forecast


  2009 2010
GDP (billion $ / nominal) 657.626 752.996
GDP Growth Rate (%) 0.4 1.9
GDP per Capita ($) 13,174 13,446
Export (billion $) 116.860 122.764
Import (billion $) 151.811 161.265

Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Forecasts, Jan. 2009

The Turkish economy has grown steadily over the last 27 quarters with an average rate of 7%. This growth is expected to continue in coming years with a lower rate due to the global financial crisis. After the 2001 financial crisis, Turkey made important structural reforms which have led to improve her financial system. Therefore, Turkey is relatively less affected by the global crisis. Although nowadays Turkey has to deal with debts which mostly belong to private companies, effects of the global financial crisis to Turkey are not going to be an internal one on the most part, but it is going be an external one as less demand for exports. Also previous crisis experience of Turkish businessmen and economy officials make Turkey more resilient to the global financial crisis today.

2.2. International Trade


Between 2001 and 2007, foreign trade has increased by 281% and exports have increased by 242% as well and reached USD 107 billion in 2007. In 2008, the foreign trade accounted for 333.8 billion USD. Automotive and iron and steel are the major export items, while oil and natural gas are major import items.

In 2008, Turkey mainly exported to Germany, the United Kingdom, the United Arab Emirates, Italy and France whereas she mainly imported from Russia, Germany, China, the United States and Italy.

  2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Export ($) 36,059,089 47,252,836 63,167,153 73,476,408 85,534,676 107,271,750 132,002,612
Import ($) 51,553,797 69,339,692 97,539,766 116,774,151 139,576,174 170,062,715 201,822,882
Volume ($) 87,612,886 116,592,528 160,706,919 190,250,559 225,110,850 277,334,464 333,825,494
Balance ($) -15,494,708 -22,086,856 -34,372,613 -43,297,743 -54,041,498 -62,790,965 -69,820,270

Source: TUIK


Main Exports of Turkey ($-2008)   Main Imports ($-2008)
Vehicles other than railway 18,299,890   Mineral fuels and oils
48,207,184
Iron and steel 14,948,504   Iron and steel
23,157,625
Machineries, mechanical appliances, boilers and parts thereof 10,260,093   Machineries, mechanical appliances,
boilers and parts thereof
22,515,382
Electrical machinery and equipment 8,003,852   Electrical machinery and equipment
13,868,030
Articles of apparel and clothing accessories knitted 7,832,879   Vehicles other than railway 12,790,092
Mineral fuels and oils 7,531,482   Plastics and articles thereof,
9,385,397
Articles of iron and steel 5,746,210   Pearls, precious stones, coin
5,653,770
Pearls, precious stones, coin 5,384,155   Organic chemicals
4,421,328
Articles of apparel and clothing acc.not knitted 5,326,310   Pharmaceutical products
4,360,040
Plastics and articles thereof, 3,562,395   Optical instruments and apparatus
3,442,138
Fruit 2,854,331   Copper and articles thereof
3,275,912
Ships, boats and floating structures 2,647,845   Paper and paperboard
2,604,034
Salt, sulfide, earth, plastering mat., lime, cement 2,280,427   Aluminium and articles thereof
2,539,440
Other made-up textile articles 2,097,914   Cotton. cotton yarn and cotton
fabric
2,330,337
Furniture 1,890,115   Articles of iron and steel
2,227,035
Rubber and articles thereof 1,807,689   Rubber and articles thereof
2,219,352
Aluminium and articles thereof 1,775,810   Cereals
2,137,315
Cotton. cotton yarn and cotton fabric 1,632,015   Miscellaneous chemical products
1,732,506
Preparations of vegetables and fruits 1,440,495   Man-made staple fibers 1,695,433
Man-made filaments 1,336,688   Inorganic chemicals
1,684,512
Total Export 132,002,612   Total Import 201,822,882

Source: TÜIK

Principal Destinations of Exports
($-2008)   Principal Origins of Import ($-2008)
Germany
12,958,895   Russia Fed.
31,317,596
United Kingdom
8,168,650   Germany
18,682,114
U.A.E
7,981,284   China
15,642,623
Italy
7,816,821   U.S.A
11,971,409
France
6,622,261   Italy
11,008,455
Russia Fed.
6,481,663   France 9,021,719
U.S.A
4,290,146   Iran 8,199,594
Spain
4,051,264   Ukraine 6,106,808
Romania
3,981,895   Switzerland 5,588,284
Iraq 3,912,191   United Kingdom 5,323,540
Netherlands
3,143,422   Spain 4,546,842
Switzerland
2,857,127   South Korea 4,089,879
Greece
2,430,549   Japan 4,021,871
Saudi Arabia
2,197,152   Romania 3,546,851
Ukraine
2,184,289   Saudi Arabia 3,322,455
Bulgaria
2,149,395   Algeria 3,262,176
Belgium
2,122,550   Belgium 3,148,361
Iran
2,028,452   Netherlands 3,048,262
Israel
1,935,244   India 2,457,525
Azerbaijan
1,666,091   Kazakhstan 2,331,992

Source: TUIK

2.3. Foreign Direct Investments


Foreign investors find Turkey attractive for a number of reasons:

a) The Government maintains a liberal policy towards all forms of foreign investment
b) The market is large and continuously growing
c) The location is unique: between Asia and Europe
d) The labor force is relatively cheap and abundant
e) There is Customs Union with the EU since 1 January 1996
f) Turkey has Free Trade Agreements with EFTA and 11 countries (Israel, Macedonia, Croatia, Bosnia Herzegovina, Morocco, Palestine, Tunisia, Syria, Egypt, Georgia, Albania); Free Trade Agreements with additional countries are planned and on the way

g) There are several privatization projects under progress

In the last six years in particular, Turkey has started to draw increasing amounts of foreign capital thanks to a rapid recovery from the 2001 crisis, large privatization projects, and prolonged stability coinciding with the excessive liquidity in international markets. Last year, according to the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), Turkey ranked 23rd in the world and 9th among the emerging markets in terms of attractiveness as an FDI destination. Turkey also ranked 59th out of 181 economies in Ease of Doing Business Rank of the World Bank, 41st out of 121 economies in Forbes Doing Business Index and 15th most attractive economy for the location of FDI in UNCTAD´s World Investment Prospects Survey 2008-2010.

Being the world’s 15th economy and Europe’s 6th economy, Turkey has recently been home to numerous significant investments by attracting more than 50 billion USD for the last 3 years.

In 2003 when the new investment law was ratified, there were about 6,500 foreign companies operating in Turkey, whereas as of 2007 there are more than 18,300 foreign companies operating in Turkey. Despite the global crisis, the amount of FDI is 14.5 billion USD for 2008 with only a slight decrease.

FDI Inflows by Sectors


Sectors 2008
 
Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry and Aquaculture 44
Mining 168
Manufacturing Industry 3,734
Food, Beverage and Tobacco 1,278
Textile 189
Chemicals 121
Machinery 219
Automotive 67
Other 1,860
Electricity, Gas, Water 1,034
Construction 887
Wholesale and Retail 2,059
Hotels and Restaurants 27
Transportation, Telecommunications and Logistics 169
Financial Intermediary Institutions 5,456
Real Estate 656
Other Social and Personal Services 208
Total 14,442 14,442

Source: Central Bank of Turkey

The cumulative sector breakdown of foreign capital financed companies between 1957-2007 shows that 30% of these companies operate in wholesale and retail sector; 19% of them operate in manufacturing sector and 15% of them operate in real estate, renting and business activities. Construction (9%); transport, storage and communications (9%); hotels and restaurants (7%); other community, social and personal service activities (6%); mining and quarrying activities (2%); agriculture, hunting, fishing and forestry (2%) and electricity, gas and water supply (1%) constitute other sectors.

Turkish Outflow Investments


2000
1.029
2001
604
2002
283
2003
505
2004
815
2005
1.065
2006
1.677
2007
2.275
2008
2.604
2003-2008
8.922
1991-2008
12.635

Source: Central Bank of Turkey

The Turkish companies have become important investors abroad and have recently accomplished significant projects and have bought world’s leading brands including Godiva, Razi, Trader Media East and Grundig. Moreover, the Turkish contractors have recently undertaken projects accounting for 135 billion USD as of end of 2008. Accordingly, 23 Turkish contracting firms partake among the world’s largest 225 contracting firms ranking.

The Turkish companies have invested in the sectors of banking, white goods and telecommunication in the Eastern Europe, energy, consumer goods, industry, tourism, finance and logistics in the Eurasia, chemicals, industry and logistics in the Gulf countries and food, textile and automotive in the Middle East.

For more information on Merger and Acquisitions please refer to Deloitte’s “Annual Turkish M&A Review 2008” and “Private Equity Confidence Survey 2009 – first half year” (www.deloitte.com.tr)

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